Label legendmeasuredconsensusderivedassumptionno data
01At a glance
83,952
Monthly situation search volume
7
CEPs · 3 situations without link evidence listed separately
6
Unclaimed situations
74.1%
Largest CEP share · 寒さが本格化する前に冬服を準備する時
Start here
1寒さが本格化する前に冬服を準備する時Unclaimed situation volume 18,250Brands already show up here (leader: adidas) → challenge with differentiated content & search; defend if it's yours
2冬キャンプに行く時の服装を知りたい時Unclaimed situation volume 72Brands already show up here (leader: コロンビア) → challenge with differentiated content & search; defend if it's yours
3寒い日に快適でスタイリッシュな暖かい冬服を探す時Unclaimed situation volume 0Brands already show up here (leader: ユニクロ) → challenge with differentiated content & search; defend if it's yours
Unclaimed situation = a CEP where no brand was detected in its journeys or SERPs · Unclaimed situation volume = situation volume × (1 − brand fit). Situation volume is a proxy for how often the moment happens, not the volume of category-name searches
Weak evidence that this situation leads to ダウンジャケット → test small around the linking queries before scaling evidence weak
3 situations with no search evidence linking to ダウンジャケット (category-expansion candidates)
No searches or mentions leading from these situations to ダウンジャケット were found. They are not counted as existing demand (power 0%); treat them as a separate category-expansion task: getting people to think of ダウンジャケット in these moments.
Click a column header to sort by it · click a CEP name to jump to its detail card
Power = this situation's share of all CEP situation searches (bigger = wider door in) · Brand competition = whether brands show up in this situation's journeys/SERPs · Evidence = strength of the supporting search evidence (strong/medium/weak)
03Content opportunityderived
big needs the category does not reach yet
Three numbers per situation: how big the situation is (a ceiling), how strongly it already leads to the category (connection signal), and the difference (unconnected searches). The bigger the difference, the sooner content should make the connection.
83,952Situation searches (monthly, ceiling)
0.36Average connection (search-weighted)
53,414Unconnected searches (monthly, content opportunity)64% of situation searches
“寒い日でも妥協しない!ワントーンコーデだけでなく、保温性とスタイリッシュさを兼ね備えたダウンジャケットで、快適かつトレンド感のある冬のおしゃれを楽しみませんか?”Where they meet: 寒い日に快適さとスタイリッシュさを両立させたいというニーズに対し、ダウンジャケットは高い保温性と多様なデザインで、着痩せ効果やトレンド感を演出しながら暖かさを提供します。
“隙間テープや重ね着だけでなく、高い保温性と防風性を持つダウンジャケットを羽織ることで、家の中でも外出先でも、より効果的に寒さをしのぎ、快適に過ごせます。”Where they meet: 家の中や外出時など様々な状況で寒さを感じる際、ダウンジャケットは高い保温性と防風性で効率的に体温を保ち、寒さ対策として有効です。
“クリスマスプレゼントに迷ったら、マフラーや革小物だけでなく、実用的で長く愛用できる高品質なダウンジャケットを贈って、冬の毎日を暖かく彩りませんか?”Where they meet: クリスマスに大切な男性へ贈るプレゼントとして、ダウンジャケットは実用的で長く愛用できる高品質な冬の定番アイテムであり、こだわりの素材やデザインで喜ばれます。
“冬キャンプの寒さ対策は重ね着だけでなく、保温性・防風性・防水性に優れたダウンジャケットをアウターに選ぶことで、夜間の冷え込みも安心、快適に過ごせます。”Where they meet: 冬キャンプで最低気温5度以下の厳しい寒さの中、ダウンジャケットは高い保温性、防風性、防水性で、夜間や就寝時の体温維持に不可欠な防寒着となります。
“バイクの防寒対策は3層構造のレイヤリングだけでなく、高い防風性と保温性を誇るダウンジャケットをアウターに選ぶことで、冬の走行をより快適で安全に楽しめます。”Where they meet: 冬のバイク走行時、ダウンジャケットは高い防風性と保温性で走行風や寒さから体を守り、通勤・通学から長距離ツーリングまで快適なライディングをサポートします。
“気温10~15℃未満の冬キャンプでアウターを選ぶなら、価格やコーデだけでなく、防風性・保温性・防水・はっ水加工・透湿性を兼ね備えたダウンジャケットで、機能性とファッション性を両立させませんか?”Where they meet: 冬キャンプで気温10~15℃未満の真冬にアウターを探す際、ダウンジャケットは高い防風性、保温性、防水・はっ水加工、透湿性で、様々なシーンに対応しながら快適な暖かさを提供します。
“雪国旅行の準備は、車なしアクセスや温泉宿選びだけでなく、厚手で裏起毛、風を通さないダウンジャケットを準備して、幻想的な雪景色を暖かく快適に満喫しませんか?”Where they meet: 初めての雪国旅行で不安を感じる際、ダウンジャケットは厚手で裏起毛、風を通さない特性により、日本の美しい冬の絶景を楽しむための最適な防寒着となります。
Situation searches = how often the situation occurs (monthly average): the largest size the category could serve, not the number of people solving it with the category. Connection signal = the average of search connection (direct 1 · linked 0.67 · weak 0.33 · none 0) and AI-answer connection (share of the situation's representative results that name the category; AI Overview or citation 1, other results 0.5), measured parts only. Unconnected = situation searches × (1 − connection). Quadrant cut-offs: median situation searches 142 · connection 0.5. 'Not measured' means no results were fetched for that situation; 0 means measured with no mention.
Cell = that month's average volume ÷ overall monthly average (1.0 = average). Bold = peak month.
Monthly search volume per situation over 48 measured months: when and how often each situation occurs. Combined with survey data, it shows both the size of a situation and how it changes.
Rule: growing/declining = trailing 12-month sum vs the prior 12 months ±20% or more / peak month = calendar-month index ≥1.30 / seasonal = max ÷ min month index ≥1.8. Monthly values are measured monthly search volumes [measured]; CEP series are sums over measured measured queries [derived]. Unlike survey CEP power (share of respondents), this frequency is search occurrence.
Contested = gap between #1 and #2 ≤10pt · dispersed = leader share <35% · HHI = sum of squared shares. Core CEPs (power ≥ median) are filled, others faded. Unmeasured are dashed (unknown, not empty).
06CEP power
each situation's share of all situation searches
total 7 CEP · [derived] power = the CEP's search volume ÷ total volume of all CEPs
3 situations with no evidence linking to the category are left out of this chart (power 0%).
07Brand × entry situation
claimed vs. open (all CEPs)
Brand links measured for 4 of 10 entry situations · the other 6 are graded as opportunities. Small k/m in a cell = brand-mention sample (small m = low confidence).
ワークマン
コロンビア
ユニクロ
モンベル
adidas
ナイキ
冬服準備74.1%
13%
3%
·
·
70%
14%
暖冬服18.8%
·
·
100%4/4
·
·
·
防寒着6.9%
100%131/131
·
·
·
·
·
冬キャン服装0.2%
·
50%
·
50%
·
·
寒さ対策no link evidence
No search evidence linking to ダウンジャケット: a category-expansion task, not existing demand no link evidence · mo. 1,300
初詣服装0.0%
Small situation: low priority 0.0% · mo. 140
男性プレゼントno link evidence
No search evidence linking to ダウンジャケット: a category-expansion task, not existing demand no link evidence · mo. 130
バイク防寒0.0%
Small situation: low priority 0.0% · mo. 130
冬物アウター0.0%
Small situation: low priority 0.0% · mo. 116
雪国旅行no link evidence
No search evidence linking to ダウンジャケット: a category-expansion task, not existing demand no link evidence · mo. 40
[derived] · colored cell = measured share (k/m sample) · green/amber row = land-grab opportunity (no brand linked, by situation size) · gray row = small · "·" = not queried (no data ≠ 0)
Link rate = share of search paths through this situation whose later queries contain a category term (ダウンジャケット) [derived]. low <20% · high ≥50%. Power ≥ median and low = category-growth candidate (the situation is big but the category is not chosen yet). Only journeys starting from the situation term are used; the category-anchor journey is excluded (linked by construction). CEPs whose own queries already contain the category term are skipped.
09W-axis mixassumption
where this map's situations cluster
Why · purpose/benefit1 CEPs · power sum 0%
Who · for whom5 CEPs · power sum 19%
When · timing/trigger2 CEPs · power sum 74%
Where · place2 CEPs · power sum 7%
While · doing what0 CEPs · power sum 0%
With whom0 CEPs · power sum 0%
Feeling · mood0 CEPs · power sum 0%
BEP (benefit entry points): 0 / 10
Empty axes: While · doing what, With whom, Feeling · mood. This is where a candidate list may be trapped in the designer's hypotheses; add entry-situation candidates on these axes in the next run's review step.
The W-axis shows the angle each CEP arises from (why, for whom, when, where, while doing what, with whom, feeling) [assumption]; when scene-7W evidence exists, the most populated axis is used [derived]. BEP = entries where the desired outcome comes first, like why or feeling.
10Audience in the query
Who it is for
Only searches that name an audience (the recipient, companion or user) are counted, and their monthly volume summed. It reads who people search for, and with whom, straight from the queries.
Measured queries × fixed lexicon classification [derived]. A query naming two audiences counts in both.
11Evidence grade
What the qualitative attributes rest on
Nano intents, KBFs, constraints, avoidances, thresholds and reasons to believe carry one of four labels. Measured means the condition exists as real search queries with measured monthly volume. Consensus means Google's SERP and AI Overview state the same thing across several queries. A SERP is ranked and summarized from the click feedback of the people who searched that query, so content that repeats across queries and independent sources is read as what that society agrees on about the topic.
measured 23%consensus 50%derived 22%
measured26 · exists as search queries, monthly volume measured
consensus57 · repeated in SERP/AIO of 2+ queries (or 3 independent sources)
derived25 · found in a single SERP sentence
assumption5 · interpretation without direct evidence
Based on the 113 qualitative attributes in this report; each counts once, at its strongest evidence.
Sum of monthly volume of measured queries that state the attribute's condition: queries containing its key terms verbatim, or queries that say the condition in other words (condition word checked, passed a separate review). Attributes hitting the same query set are merged. Trend uses 48 months of monthly volume (last 12 vs prior 12 months).
Rising conditions
KBF軽量 ↑+41%
Conditions whose bound queries grew 20% or more, last 12 months vs the prior 12.
Content that recurs in the SERP/AI Overview of several queries. The number of queries and their summed monthly volume is the size of the consensus. This layer covers what search volume cannot measure directly: cautions, recommended values, reasons to believe.
12Search data used in this report
A CEP is a situation that many search signals point to together, not a single keyword. This shows how much related-search, search-path, search-cluster, SERP text, PAA and AI Overview data was collected, and which of it served as evidence for each CEP's scene (when, where, why, with whom) and its nano context, KBF, constraints and avoidances.
Data
Collected
Used as CEP evidence
Related searches
250
in the dossiers of 10/10 CEPs times cited for attributes/7W: related searches 11
Search paths
584 paths (incl. 0 deep-measurement paths)
in the dossiers of 2/10 CEPs times cited for attributes/7W: next search in path 6, searched in the same path 3
Search clusters
22 clusters · 458 queries
in the dossiers of 0/10 CEPs
SERPs (Google results)
20
in the dossiers of 10/10 CEPs times cited for attributes/7W: top results 79, AIO citations 11
AI Overview
12
in the dossiers of 7/10 CEPs times cited for attributes/7W: AIO 83
CEPs surface in different places depending on the topic and situation: some in search paths, some in clusters or related searches, some in AIO and PAA. Left: share of the CEP's measured query volume found in each source (discovery). Right: how often each source was cited for the scene 7W and attributes. 'none' means that source never reached this CEP.
Scene: when, where, why, with whom MomentRecallLooks further
When
秋の終わり急な冷え込みにも慌てないよう11月頃晩秋10月のうち
Where
雪国
Why
寒さが本格化する前に快適に冬を越すため長く厳しい冬に備える
With / for whom
ペット寒さに弱い植物
Only items confirmed by evidence pointers into search queries, the searches just before in search paths, same-cluster queries, and SERP lines. Hover the dotted underline to see the evidence.
Where this situation showed up (share of search volume) related searches 1% · mined from paths/clusters/AIO 99%
no search paths, search clusters data reached this CEP
No category brand is mentioned anywhere in the SERPs of the 3 queries for this situation. Search AI does not bring up any brand here yet (room to claim it).
Appendix: AI search exposure
AI tracking questions assumption
1“寒さが本格化する前に冬服を準備したい。”existing prompt
2“秋の終わりに冬服を取り出すタイミングを知りたい。”
3“急な冷え込みに備えて冬服を用意する方法を教えて。”
4“冬支度のために必要なアイテムを知りたい。”
Questions this situation's consumers may ask an AI; used to track AI-response exposure
Reference block needed only when managing AI (AI Overview / chatbot) exposure. The blocks above cover situation understanding and marketing decisions.
Scene: when, where, why, with whom MomentLooks furtherNeed recognized
When
冬
Where
キャンプ
Why
寒さ対策
With / for whom
初心者レディース
While doing
寝る時
Feeling
寒い
Only items confirmed by evidence pointers into search queries, the searches just before in search paths, same-cluster queries, and SERP lines. Hover the dotted underline to see the evidence.
Where this situation showed up (share of search volume) related searches 100%
no search paths, search clusters, AIO data reached this CEP
No category brand is mentioned anywhere in the SERPs of the 1 queries for this situation. Search AI does not bring up any brand here yet (room to claim it).
Scene: when, where, why, with whom MomentLooks furtherNeed recognized
When
2026年冬
With / for whom
大人女子50代30代・40代の大人女子
While doing
通勤オフィスカジュアルや休日コーデお出かけ
Feeling
寒い日も快適
Only items confirmed by evidence pointers into search queries, the searches just before in search paths, same-cluster queries, and SERP lines. Hover the dotted underline to see the evidence.
Where this situation showed up (share of search volume) related searches 100% · search paths 77%
There is measured evidence that searches in this situation lead to ダウンジャケット.
Linking queries (measured)
冬服 ユニクロ 433ユニクロ冬服 433adidas 冬服 340冬服 ダウンジャケット 13
Search paths
4 of 85 paths through this situation's queries went on to a ダウンジャケット or brand search冬服 → 冬服 メンズ → 冬服 メンズ 30代 → 冬服メンズ30代ユニクロ冬服 → 冬服 メンズ → 冬服メンズ 20代 → メンズ 冬コーデ 20代 ユニクロ
SERP & AI Overview
0 of 39 lines across 2 SERPs for this situation mention ダウンジャケット or a brand
Brand linkage
Brands measured in situation + category searches: ユニクロ
What SERPs recommend in this situation
ウールコートウィンターブーツニットスウェットキルティングコートブルゾン
Next actionBrands already show up here (leader: ユニクロ) → challenge with differentiated content & search; defend if it's yours evidence strong
Investment priority derived
Investment candidate #3Unclaimed situation volume up to 0/mo
Market size 25 · Brand fit – · Provability 100(evidence easy to substantiate), highest-priority investment on this 3-axis combination
Combines the 3 selection axes + power/volume via a fixed rule; a new calculation only, no new data
Search journey: just before and after derived
Adjacent transitions aggregated from 85 measured paths; an aggregate graph flow, not one person's timeline
Bridging message assumption
Where they meet寒い日に快適さとスタイリッシュさを両立させたいというニーズに対し、ダウンジャケットは高い保温性と多様なデザインで、着痩せ効果やトレンド感を演出しながら暖かさを提供します。
No category brand is mentioned anywhere in the SERPs of the 2 queries for this situation. Search AI does not bring up any brand here yet (room to claim it).
Appendix: AI search exposure
Source types AI cited derived
Other100%
The 3 source(s) AI Overview/PAA cited as evidence for this CEP, re-aggregated by source type; Other looks most valuable for this CEP's AI exposure
Reference block needed only when managing AI (AI Overview / chatbot) exposure. The blocks above cover situation understanding and marketing decisions.
Scene: when, where, why, with whom MomentLooks furtherDecides to buy
Where
富士山や登山中
While doing
バイクや釣り
Feeling
最強の防寒着が欲しい
Only items confirmed by evidence pointers into search queries, the searches just before in search paths, same-cluster queries, and SERP lines. Hover the dotted underline to see the evidence.
Where this situation showed up (share of search volume) related searches 100% · search paths 65% · PAA 6%
131 of 199 paths through this situation's queries went on to a ダウンジャケット or brand search防寒着 → 防寒着ワークマン防寒着 → 防寒着ワークマン
SERP & AI Overview
4 of 25 lines across 1 SERPs for this situation mention ダウンジャケット or a brand‹2026年最新のおすすめ防寒着は、優れた断熱性と防水性を持つワークマンの「XShelter断熱αイージスプレミアム防水防寒スーツ」や、軽量で動きやすいバートルの「7620防水防寒ジャケット」です。› (AI Overview · 防寒着)‹ワークマン XShelter断熱αイージスプレミアム防水防寒スーツ› (AI Overview · 防寒着)
Brand linkage
Brands measured in situation + category searches: ワークマン
Based on the SERPs of 2 queries for this situation. A mention in the AI Overview body scores 2, in cited sources, PAA or top organic results 1 (presence per query, not repeat counts). Shows which brands Google's search AI brings up for this situation; a different lens from path-based linkage (consumer behavior). [derived·SERP]
Appendix: AI search exposure
Source types AI cited derived
Other100%
The 1 source(s) AI Overview/PAA cited as evidence for this CEP, re-aggregated by source type; Other looks most valuable for this CEP's AI exposure
Reference block needed only when managing AI (AI Overview / chatbot) exposure. The blocks above cover situation understanding and marketing decisions.
CEP 5purpose CEP
寒さを感じて対策をしたい時
Macroexplicit CEP
power no link evidence derived(whole situation 1.6%) · avg monthly volume 1,300 · trend (3M) -18%
W-axis Whenstructure open YoY (12M) -18% · Peak 1·10·11·12mo.stableseasonal
Scene: when, where, why, with whom MomentNeed recognizedLooks further
When
外出時や室内で
Where
寒い寝室
Only items confirmed by evidence pointers into search queries, the searches just before in search paths, same-cluster queries, and SERP lines. Hover the dotted underline to see the evidence.
Where this situation showed up (share of search volume) AIO 100% · PAA 100% · mined from paths/clusters/AIO 100%
no search paths, search clusters data reached this CEP
No evidence this situation leads to ダウンジャケット. Its total volume could attach to any other category just as well, so it is not counted as existing demand. Making ダウンジャケット a candidate here is a category-expansion task.
Linking queries (measured)
No query combining the situation and 'ダウンジャケット' (2 candidates measured)
Search paths
No paths pass through this situation's queries
SERP & AI Overview
0 of 29 lines across 1 SERPs for this situation mention ダウンジャケット or a brand
What SERPs recommend in this situation
断熱シート隙間テープラグアルミシート厚手のカーテンインナーネックウォーマー寝袋
Next actionNo search evidence that this situation leads to ダウンジャケット → don't count it as existing demand; treat it as a category-expansion task (make ダウンジャケット a candidate in this situation) evidence weak
Investment priority derived
Investment candidate #5Unclaimed situation volume up to 0/mo
Market size 0 · Brand fit – · Provability 100(evidence easy to substantiate), highest-priority investment on this 3-axis combination
Combines the 3 selection axes + power/volume via a fixed rule; a new calculation only, no new data
Bridging message assumption
Where they meet家の中や外出時など様々な状況で寒さを感じる際、ダウンジャケットは高い保温性と防風性で効率的に体温を保ち、寒さ対策として有効です。
No category brand is mentioned anywhere in the SERPs of the 1 queries for this situation. Search AI does not bring up any brand here yet (room to claim it).
CEP 6purpose CEP
クリスマスに男性へプレゼントを贈りたい時
Macroexplicit CEP
power no link evidence derived(whole situation 0.1%) · avg monthly volume 130 · trend (3M) +0%
W-axis Whostructure open YoY (12M) -29% · Peak 11·12mo.decliningseasonal
Scene: when, where, why, with whom MomentLooks furtherNeed recognized
When
クリスマス
Why
プレゼントを贈りたい
With / for whom
男性彼氏男友達父親
Only items confirmed by evidence pointers into search queries, the searches just before in search paths, same-cluster queries, and SERP lines. Hover the dotted underline to see the evidence.
no search paths, search clusters data reached this CEP
No evidence this situation leads to ダウンジャケット. Its total volume could attach to any other category just as well, so it is not counted as existing demand. Making ダウンジャケット a candidate here is a category-expansion task.
Linking queries (measured)
No query combining the situation and 'ダウンジャケット' (2 candidates measured)
Search paths
No paths pass through this situation's queries
SERP & AI Overview
0 of 25 lines across 1 SERPs for this situation mention ダウンジャケット or a brand
What SERPs recommend in this situation
マフラー手袋革小物ビジネスグッズスキンケア・美容アイテムワイヤレスイヤホンタンブラールームウエア
Next actionNo search evidence that this situation leads to ダウンジャケット → don't count it as existing demand; treat it as a category-expansion task (make ダウンジャケット a candidate in this situation) evidence weak
Investment priority derived
Investment candidate #6Unclaimed situation volume up to 0/mo
Market size 0 · Brand fit – · Provability 100(evidence easy to substantiate), highest-priority investment on this 3-axis combination
Combines the 3 selection axes + power/volume via a fixed rule; a new calculation only, no new data
Bridging message assumption
Where they meetクリスマスに大切な男性へ贈るプレゼントとして、ダウンジャケットは実用的で長く愛用できる高品質な冬の定番アイテムであり、こだわりの素材やデザインで喜ばれます。
No category brand is mentioned anywhere in the SERPs of the 1 queries for this situation. Search AI does not bring up any brand here yet (room to claim it).
Scene: when, where, why, with whom MomentNeed recognizedLooks further
Where
都心部雪が降る地域
Why
防寒走行風を遮る体温を逃がさない
While doing
バイクに乗る時通勤・通学日帰りツーリング
Only items confirmed by evidence pointers into search queries, the searches just before in search paths, same-cluster queries, and SERP lines. Hover the dotted underline to see the evidence.
Where this situation showed up (share of search volume) mined from paths/clusters/AIO 100%
no search paths, search clusters data reached this CEP
Evidence of a link to ダウンジャケット is weak; only the linking queries' volume counts as existing demand.
Linking queries (measured)
No query combining the situation and 'ダウンジャケット' (2 candidates measured)
Search paths
No paths pass through this situation's queries
SERP & AI Overview
1 of 29 lines across 1 SERPs for this situation mention ダウンジャケット or a brand‹真冬のバイク最強防寒着のオススメを教えて下さい。ちょっと時期は早... - Yahoo!知恵袋 | 2024/10/05 — ワークマンのイージスシリーズ が最強かと(^-^;A 初代イージスから火が付いた防寒防水ジャケットがシリーズ化され› (search result · バイク 防寒着)
3層構造のレイヤリング ‹same evidence ↑›consensusAIOno source link
Selection axes (market · fit · provability)
Market size0
Brand fit–
Provability100
Brands AI search names here (AIO) derived
No category brand is mentioned anywhere in the SERPs of the 1 queries for this situation. Search AI does not bring up any brand here yet (room to claim it).
Scene: when, where, why, with whom MomentLooks furtherNeed recognized
When
真冬
Where
普段使い葬儀
Only items confirmed by evidence pointers into search queries, the searches just before in search paths, same-cluster queries, and SERP lines. Hover the dotted underline to see the evidence.
no search paths, search clusters, AIO data reached this CEP
No category brand is mentioned anywhere in the SERPs of the 1 queries for this situation. Search AI does not bring up any brand here yet (room to claim it).
Appendix: AI search exposure
Source types AI cited derived
Other100%
The 1 source(s) AI Overview/PAA cited as evidence for this CEP, re-aggregated by source type; Other looks most valuable for this CEP's AI exposure
Reference block needed only when managing AI (AI Overview / chatbot) exposure. The blocks above cover situation understanding and marketing decisions.
Scene: when, where, why, with whom MomentLooks furtherNeed recognized
When
新年
Where
神社屋外砂利道や階段
Why
神様へ新年の挨拶無病息災・平安無事を祈る
With / for whom
デート家族連れ友人男性女性
While doing
長時間並ぶお参りご祈祷
Only items confirmed by evidence pointers into search queries, the searches just before in search paths, same-cluster queries, and SERP lines. Hover the dotted underline to see the evidence.
Where this situation showed up (share of search volume) related searches 100%
no search paths, search clusters data reached this CEP
Evidence of a link to ダウンジャケット is weak; only the linking queries' volume counts as existing demand.
Linking queries (measured)
No query combining the situation and 'ダウンジャケット' (2 candidates measured)
Search paths
No paths pass through this situation's queries
SERP & AI Overview
2 of 28 lines across 1 SERPs for this situation mention ダウンジャケット or a brand‹防寒性:屋外で長時間並ぶため、ロングコートやダウンジャケット、タートルネックが必須です。› (AI Overview · 初詣 服装)‹アウター:襟付きのロングコートや、ミドル丈のダウンジャケット。› (AI Overview · 初詣 服装)
What SERPs recommend in this situation
ロングコートタートルネックスニーカーマフラーテーパードパンツロングスカート着物ショール
Next actionWeak evidence that this situation leads to ダウンジャケット → test small around the linking queries before scaling evidence weak
Investment priority derived
Investment candidate #9Unclaimed situation volume up to 0/mo
Market size 0 · Brand fit – · Provability 67(evidence easy to substantiate), highest-priority investment on this 3-axis combination
Combines the 3 selection axes + power/volume via a fixed rule; a new calculation only, no new data
No category brand is mentioned anywhere in the SERPs of the 1 queries for this situation. Search AI does not bring up any brand here yet (room to claim it).
CEP 10purpose CEP
雪国へ旅行に行く時の準備を知りたい時
Macroexplicit CEP
power no link evidence derived · avg monthly volume 40 · trend (3M) +66% possibly seasonal
W-axis Whostructure open YoY (12M) -22% · Peak 1·2·11·12mo.decliningseasonal
Scene: when, where, why, with whom MomentLooks furtherNeed recognized
When
年末年始
Where
雪国
With / for whom
カップル子連れの家族
Only items confirmed by evidence pointers into search queries, the searches just before in search paths, same-cluster queries, and SERP lines. Hover the dotted underline to see the evidence.
no search paths, search clusters, AIO data reached this CEP
No evidence this situation leads to ダウンジャケット. Its total volume could attach to any other category just as well, so it is not counted as existing demand. Making ダウンジャケット a candidate here is a category-expansion task.
Linking queries (measured)
No query combining the situation and 'ダウンジャケット' (2 candidates measured)
Search paths
No paths pass through this situation's queries
SERP & AI Overview
0 of 8 lines across 1 SERPs for this situation mention ダウンジャケット or a brand
What SERPs recommend in this situation
コート
Next actionNo search evidence that this situation leads to ダウンジャケット → don't count it as existing demand; treat it as a category-expansion task (make ダウンジャケット a candidate in this situation) evidence weak
Investment priority derived
Investment candidate #10Unclaimed situation volume up to 0/mo
Market size 0 · Brand fit – · Provability 33, highest-priority investment on this 3-axis combination
Combines the 3 selection axes + power/volume via a fixed rule; a new calculation only, no new data
Bridging message assumption
Where they meet初めての雪国旅行で不安を感じる際、ダウンジャケットは厚手で裏起毛、風を通さない特性により、日本の美しい冬の絶景を楽しむための最適な防寒着となります。
No category brand is mentioned anywhere in the SERPs of the 1 queries for this situation. Search AI does not bring up any brand here yet (room to claim it).
Related-query clusters found by search-cluster analysis. The bar is the cluster's total monthly volume; use it to spot demand areas no CEP has captured yet.
15Brand summary
behavioral MMS proxy · width×depth
MMS proxy [derived]
branded volume [measured]
width (#CEPs linked)
depth (avg rank)
ワークマン
16.2%
3,393,333
2
2.0
コロンビア
2.3%
373,000
2
2.5
ユニクロ
–
5,373,333
1
1.0
モンベル
–
941,000
1
2.0
adidas
–
516,666
1
1.0
ナイキ
–
301,000
1
2.0
パタゴニア
–
264,333
0
–
アークテリクス
–
264,333
0
–
プラダ
–
155,000
0
–
ストーンアイランド
–
118,333
0
–
16AI search visibility
Which brands search AI names in which situation
For each CEP's queries we checked whether category brands are mentioned in Google's SERP and AI Overview, weighting the AI Overview body most. Unlike paths (the brand consumers searched next), this is the brand search AI offers as the answer for that situation. Situations where no brand appears are where content and GEO can claim the spot first.
Of 10 CEPs with SERPs checked, 9 have no category brand in the AI search answer at all.
★ = named in the AI Overview body. Share scores 2 for an AI Overview mention and 1 for cited sources, PAA or top organic results, per CEP query (presence only). Fewer SERPs means a more provisional read. [derived·SERP]
MMS = Σ(CEP power × share) ÷ measured CEP power (brands sum to 1) · MPen = power share of CEPs where the brand appears · NS = number of linked CEPs · SOM = power-weighted mean share within linked CEPs. Identity MMS = MPen × SOM. Expected MMS = brand-name volume share; advantage = MMS − expected.
Computed on 4/10 measured CEPs (power sum 100%). Size: brand-name volume share ≥30% large · <10% small · else medium. KPI (EBMI): small=MPen · medium=NS · large=SOM; MMS is everyone's KGI. Brand-name volume is the bare brand query, so multi-category brands (Samsung, LG) include demand outside this category and may be oversized.
Strategy by brand size · adidas(No focal brand; example uses the #1 brand by MMS.) Small: the shortest path is taking share in the leader's prototypical CEPs (top power); do not cling to niche CEPs (EBMI). Targets: 暖冬服 · 防寒着 · 冬キャン服装
18Limits
what this map does not say
Any brand share / response-priority judgment ("how a brand is doing") holds only where brand linkage was actually measured for that CEP; check the measured ratio in Evidence readiness just below. Where many CEPs are unmeasured, treat brand-related conclusions as provisional.
Search reflects familiarity and purchase-consideration more strongly than unaided recall; in person-level validation, recognition alone drove search only 1.22x (near-negligible), while familiarity/consideration were clearly larger, reaching 7.0x (smartphones) / 5.3x (autos) when all 5 positive brand attitudes were held (Dotson et al., Google). This correlation is confounded by brand size (bigger brands move on many metrics at once), and validation was done at brand-total level.
Existing/habitual buyers don't disappear from search; the same study found brand owners searched their brand 2.5-3.5x more than non-owners (Dotson et al., Google). But much of that is non-need-expressing (brand-name/navigational/support queries), so this map's need-type CEP distribution skews toward new-entry/switch-consideration demand.
Brand share is relative within the measured set; an unqueried brand x CEP pair is [no data], not zero.
Paths are aggregate graph flow, not one person's timeline; "transition" is a modeled statistic.
CEP power's denominator is classified queries, not people; it isn't directly comparable to survey-based CEP power (denominator = people); the same person's 10 queries count as 10 votes on this map.
Queries that pick by naming a brand/origin are closer to a search mode than a situation, and differ in kind from other CEPs - they're bucketed separately to avoid contaminating need-type CEPs, so when counting "number of entry situations," we recommend excluding this item and the unclassified long tail.
Before decisions like budget/resource allocation, we recommend pairing this with survey-based recall measurement (person-level CEP power / share of mind).
The code discarded 141 AI-suggested item(s) lacking evidence (evidence is enforced).
Of 113 qualitative attributes: 26 measured (23%), 57 consensus (50%), 25 derived, 5 assumption. Measured means the condition exists as search queries, not that it drives purchase. Consensus is the social common sense Google has organized, not a fact check.
Evidence readiness: partial · 10 of 10 CEPs have measured search queries, brand linkage measured for 4; the rest need the co-query matrix / trigger expansion (deep run)
19Reproducibility
Search results (SERP, AI Overview) 23 · Search volume lookup 11 · Search paths 3 · Related searches 2 · Search clusters 1 · AI synthesis 1
Data retrieval detail
Connector calls
Parameters
Credits spent
Related searches
ダウンジャケット +3 / jp / limit 250
620
Search paths
ダウンジャケット / jp / limit 300
10890
Search clusters
ダウンジャケット / jp / hop2 / limit 500
23050
Search volume lookup
12 / jp
12
Search volume lookup
13 / jp
13
Related searches
冬服 +9 / jp / limit 120
540
Search paths
冬服 / jp / limit 200
3090
Search paths
防寒着 / jp / limit 200
3850
Search volume lookup
300 / jp
300
Search volume lookup
43 / jp
43
Search results (SERP, AI Overview)
serp 'ダウンジャケット' / jp
30
Search results (SERP, AI Overview)
serp '冬服' / jp
30
Search results (SERP, AI Overview)
serp '防寒着' / jp
0
Search results (SERP, AI Overview)
serp '冬支度' / jp
30
Search results (SERP, AI Overview)
serp '冬キャンプ 服装' / jp
30
Search results (SERP, AI Overview)
serp '初詣 服装' / jp
30
Search results (SERP, AI Overview)
serp 'クリスマス プレゼント 男性' / jp
30
Search results (SERP, AI Overview)
serp '冬物 アウター' / jp
30
Search results (SERP, AI Overview)
serp '雪国 旅行' / jp
30
Search results (SERP, AI Overview)
serp '極寒 アウター' / jp
30
Search results (SERP, AI Overview)
serp '通勤 防寒' / jp
0
Search volume lookup
12 / jp
12
Search volume lookup
24 / jp
24
Search volume lookup
80 / jp
80
Search volume lookup
20 / jp
20
Search volume lookup
10 / jp
10
Search results (SERP, AI Overview)
serp '寒さ対策 ダウンジャケット' / jp
30
Search results (SERP, AI Overview)
serp '冬キャンプ ダウンジャケット' / jp
30
Search results (SERP, AI Overview)
serp '初詣 ダウンジャケット' / jp
0
Search results (SERP, AI Overview)
serp 'クリスマス ダウンジャケット' / jp
0
Search results (SERP, AI Overview)
serp 'バイク ダウンジャケット' / jp
30
Search results (SERP, AI Overview)
serp '冬物 ダウンジャケット' / jp
0
Search results (SERP, AI Overview)
serp '雪国 ダウンジャケット' / jp
30
Search results (SERP, AI Overview)
serp '衣替え' / jp
30
Search results (SERP, AI Overview)
serp '冬服 レディース' / jp
30
Search results (SERP, AI Overview)
serp 'ワークマン防寒着' / jp
0
Search results (SERP, AI Overview)
serp '寒さ対策' / jp
30
Search results (SERP, AI Overview)
serp 'バイク 防寒着' / jp
30
Search volume lookup
30 / jp
30
Search volume lookup
247 / jp
247
AI synthesis
gemini-2.5-flash (S0 grounded + S3 synthesis)
0
Credits spent: 43341 [measured]
CEP Finder 2.1 run; input "ダウンジャケット" (depth: standard)
Volume is the trailing 3-month average monthly searches [measured]. Power's denominator is the set of queries classified into CEPs.
Brand share uses one method per CEP: brand appearance in search paths, measured brand co-searches, or brand mentions in the situation's search results and AI Overviews; never blended.
A CEP is a unit of "situation/scene," not "person"; from a penetration angle: more entry situations means a wider door for non-customers and light users.
Irrelevance screening: quarantined 34 homonym/other-market keyword(s) from the collection net (e.g. 制服 冬服, 警察 冬服, 犬冬服…)
Extracted 6 KBF/constraint/RTB/nano-context signal(s) directly from SERP AI Overview/PAA text and applied to CEPs (evidence quoted verbatim)
Give one keyword (category, product, service or brand) and it finds category entry points (CEPs) from real search paths, related searches, search volumes, SERPs and AI Overviews, then ranks them in a report. Marketers and brand managers use it to choose campaign situations and messages. Data comes from ListeningMind DaaS search behavior and Google results for Korea, Japan and the US.